Post NH Primary Analysis: Trump Over Performs, Robot Rubio Short Circuits
Last night’s New Hampshire primary was pretty much over before it began. Even before 5 PM when the the big numbers were due to come in, Trump and Sanders were already projected to win.
The winners in both their respected parties blew all other candidates out of the water. No surprise that Bernie Sanders dominated Hillary where he had been up by a big margin for quite some time now but what was more impressive was yes of course, Donald Trump. Although he was up big in the last polls leading up to the primary, he outperformed in a big way. In the weeks and days leading up to the primary, Trump went from 29% to around 33-34% and finished with 35%. Talk about finishing strong. He gave a fired up victory speech where he thanked the voters, his family and a touching dedication to his late older brother. Finishing a strong second in Iowas where a lot of his close friends and advisors told him he had no chance. I certainly would attribute to his very strong finish in New Hampshire.
Perhaps the biggest surprise to come out of New Hampshire was John Kasich. He had been polling at around 10% leading up to NH was even MIA in Iowa to go to NH but put practically everything they had into this primary and it paid off. It gave their campaign that was reportedly down to their last $2 million or so some much needed steam going into South Carolina and beyond. I would characterize it more as more keeping the campaign’s life support plugged in. I still think it’s a very steep uphill climb for him but we’ll see.
Ted Cruz’s 3rd place finish was a little disappointing because like i said before, a 2nd place finish after winning Iowa would be crucial to closing the gap on Trump. That is very unlikely to happen no especially given Trump’s big win last night. Pretty good showing for him though considering New Hampshire isn’t as kind to evangelical, very conservative candidates.
Now it wouldn’t be a proper post debate wrap up if I did’t talk about my Neocon establishment pals. First up everyone’s favorite establishment droid, Marco Rubio. After “The best bronze trophy ever to be awarded to anyone ever!” (Ok I need to stop watching Fox News so much, I apologize) was awarded to Rubio in Iowa, the real “Robot Rubio” exposed himself for the puppet he is. He even attributed his poor debate performance to his disappointing 5th place finish in NH. Now you would think such a “smart and savvy politician” would have gotten the message but nope. In one of his last campaign speeches before the primary, he yet again went full robot repeating the same rehashed lines he had just said almost in the same breath! And that is exactly why I think he will have a tougher time in the race then people think. If he repeats the same lines even after he was called on it on national TV, I’m not too sure he can learn from his mistakes and I also don’t think he can come off script.
Now to JEB! No you can’t fix it, just give up. He spent the most money in NH and nationally for that matter by a very large margin and 4th was all you can come up with in a state that should be friendly to people like you? Stop wasting our time we’re Americans, we don’t like royalty! Stop pulling the mom card and leave the poor lady alone, it isn’t working.
Oh and it looks like Christie is calling it quits so there’s that. Neocon establishment looks like they’re on their last leg gasping for air. Come on Trump/Cruz, finish em’ off!
See you guys back here on Feb. 20th for the South Carolina Primary!
Keep It RIGHT, America!